Category Archives: Uncategorized

Thoughts on the Giants’ revamped rotation

Recently, I suggested a savvy option for the Giants to upgrade their starting rotation. Thankfully, they went in a different direction and landed the reigning National League Cy Young award winner Blake Snell. In fairness to my position, at the time of my writing, I still thought Snell would be a good signing. Here’s how I ended that post:

I would certainly be happy with the Giants signing either Snell or Montgomery–heck, go for both–but I also understand the constraints. The bottom line is that the Giants need a starter, and Michael Lorenzen would be a good fit to fill that need.

– Me (two weeks ago)

But I was also well aware that the Giants have had their struggles landing the big name free agents lately. Last winter included the major disappointments of Aaron Judge resigning with the Yankees and the mega deal for Carlos Correa disintegrating overnight. This winter appeared to be going the same direction with both Shohei Ohtani and Yoshinobu Yamamoto agreeing to deals with the rival Dodgers (although, with Yamamoto getting shelled in his debut and the gambling drama surrounding Ohtani, neither seem like huge losses for the moment).

Even as the Giants and Snell remained a speculative pairing, the prospect became dimmer as the offseason wore on. The Giants had quietly made some moves on both sides of the ball and appeared to have assembled a rotation the team was comfortable rolling with to start the season. Or at the very least, they were comfortable selling it to the fan base–Snell is completely absent from a “Building the Giants Pitching Rotation” propaganda video that was released two days after he officially donned the orange and black.

All but a few sands in the Spring Training hour glass had fallen and other teams were also still in the mix. Until they weren’t. And Blake Snell was a Giant!

Even if Snell isn’t quite ready for Opening Day, his addition is a huge boost to a rotation that, in my opinion, was sporting more question marks than answers. According to MLB.com, having Snell in the fold merits ranking the Giants at number five in its rotations rankings–I think they should be higher.

Just a short time ago, the projected rotation looked much different. One projection penciled in the five spots this way:

  1. Logan Webb
  2. Ross Stripling
  3. Kyle Harrison
  4. Tristan Beck
  5. Keaton Winn

Between injuries and roster moves, including the Blake Snell addition, it’ll be a much different look (at least on paper, the placements might be off to start the season while guys get settled in).

  1. Logan Webb
  2. Blake Snell
  3. Jordan Hicks
  4. Kyle Harrison
  5. Keaton Winn

Things will look even different when/if everyone comes back healthy and the pitching staff is at full strength. Alex Cobb is reportedly ahead of schedule and Robbie Ray is still expected back in the second half. Having an All Star and Cy Young winner waiting in the wings gives the Giants an even more formidable rotation and plenty of depth.

I am always optimistic heading into a new baseball season, but I’m especially excited thanks to the pitching and defensive moves the front office made. The old adage, defense wins championships, is true. Pithing and defense were at the core of the 2010, 2012, and 2014 World Series Championships. That should be the model. Especially with the Giants playing half of their games at Oracle Park. Between the pitching upgrades and a left side of the infield sporting multiple Gold Gloves, the Giants could be on their way to competing for another Fall Classic.

The rematch? More like the comeback

Earlier this week, President Biden and former President Trump sewed up their respective nominations seemingly setting up a rematch of or sequel to the 2020 election. I say “seemingly” because I posit that it’s still possible, and I think likely, that the Democrat replace Biden at the Democratic National Convention, but I digress.

With the presumptive nominees now set, the notion of “the rematch” deserves some attention. The country already got one 2020 repeat earlier this year, when the San Francisco 49ers took on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Super Bowl. That did not go as I had hoped with the outcome also repeating itself as the Chiefs hoisted the Lombardi Trophy. Between the football and politics, 2024 is seemingly on a path to being “déjà vu all over again,” as Yogi Berra would say.

But Trump’s 2024 return to the ballot to take on his 2020 challenger is more than just a rematch. Billing it simply as just one of now seven repeat matchups misses an important characteristic: Trump is a former president! In most of those previous instances, the “rematch” involved a non-president taking on the incumbent he lost against before. The closest thing the repeat candidates had to presidential experience was losing their previous shot at the presidency.

For example, the perennial presidential candidate of the early 20th Century, William Jennings Bryan, one of the “rematch” examples (having matched up against William McKinley twice, and lost), never had the privilege of running as a former president. To return to a football comparison, William Jennings Bryan is the 90s Buffalo Bills of presidential nominees. The Bills represented the AFC in four straight Super Bowls from XXV to XXVIII, and they proceeded to lose every single one to the NFC East. It’s not a perfect analogy, because the Democrats had the good sense to nominate someone other than Bryan in 1904, but it’s still an apt comparison. The Bills might have made it to “the big dance” several times, but they were never Super Bowl Champions. The same can be said of Bryan who was a three-time nominee who never ascended to the presidency.

Notably, the Trump-Biden rematch differs in that President Trump has been America’s chief executive before. For that reason, 2024 is better considered a presidential comeback! And for that, there is only one comparison–the 1896 presidential rematch between incumbent Benjamin Harrison and former president Grover Cleveland, the outcome of which made President Cleveland the only nonconsecutive two-time president (so far).

With that, to prepare yourself for the upcoming election with a historical view, I recommend adding a Cleveland biography to your reading list. My choice, and a book I began reading this week, is A Man of Iron: The Turbulent Life and Improbable Presidency of Grover Cleveland by Troy Senik.

Alternatively, Allan Nevins’ 1933 Pulitzer Prize winning two-volume biography Grover Cleveland: A Study in Courage, which I read in 2022 in anticipation of this probability, is also a great choice.

To the Loss of the Presidency (Grover Cleveland a Study in Courage, Vol. 1) on Amazon: https://a.co/d/gsGMcFz
To the End of a Career (Grover Cleveland a Study in Courage, Vol. 2) on Amazon: https://a.co/d/gj1hLG7

A closing fun fact: Grover Cleveland was featured on the $1,000 bill.

Although the $1,000 has been discontinued, the level of inflation since Biden took office might be making the case for out-of-circulation, high denomination bills, like the McKinley ($500 bill) and the Cleveland ($1,000), to make their own comeback.

Content Added

After a long hiatus, I am pleased to provide new content to my website. This post announces updates to the Publications Archive page. The page had been underdeveloped for some time. Previously, my publication archive only listed two of my publications Taxes talk, but players like Bryce Harper still want to play where their lights shine brightest published in the Washington Examiner and Why conservatives can cheer California’s single-payer health care bill which I co-authored with Robert Graboyes for the Sacramento Bee. When I originally published the archive of my published work, these two articles were both my most recent publications and also the only articles for which I had easy access. Things have changed since then.

This update is in part prompted by a change in work. I recently began a new role as Senior Fellow at the Foundation for Government Accountability. In this position, I will be authoring original research and occasional opinion pieces. My first to briefs co-authored with Hayden Dublois are now included. We write about some interesting stuff related to the 2020 election.

Accordingly, I intend to update this website with links to my FGA content. Linking to my professional publications will likely be the majority of new posts; however, I will also try to populate my blog with additional commentary. Importantly, the opinions included on this webpage are my own, and do not express the views or opinions of my employer.

Another cause for updating the publications archive was to fill in some of the missing publications. I was fortunate to recently discover the landing page for the articles I wrote for Mic.com (Policy Mic at time of publication). Those have now been added. Additionally, I found a way to access my writings for The Vista, University of San Diego’s student newspaper. My 2011 article about Solyndra came up in a Google search and from there I was able to reverse engineer how to find my writings on the Vista archive. It’s amazing what you can find when you take the time to look.

The new and improved Publication Archive page may still have some gaps, but it is now more robust with these recent additions. Happy reading and stay tuned for new content soon.

Happy Opening Day! My 2019 Season Predictions

It’s opening day! Every team (except for the A’s and Mariners*) begins with a clean slate and dreams of making the playoffs. Here are my predictions for the 2019 Division winners and Wild Card teams:

American League East: Yankees

American League Central: Indians

American League West: Astros

Wild Card 1: Red Sox

Wild Card 2: Angels

 

National League East: Nationals

National League Central: Brewers

National League West: Dodgers

Wild Card 1: Phillies

Wild Card 2: Giants

A note on my pick for the Giants to win one of the Wild Card spots, since some will dismiss this as overly optimistic: Bruce Bochy enters his final year as a manager and sits 18 games under .500 with a record of 1926-1944. It’s a tall order for the Giants to end the regular season with the 99-63 record needed to pull the skipper out of a losing record, but the Giants know that this is Bochy’s farewell tour and if there’s anyone who can get the most out of his players, it’s him. 

Manager of the Year:

Building on my optimism for a winning season in San Francisco, I am predicting Bruce Bochy as the NL Manager of the Year. For the AL, I will go with Angels skipper Brad Asmus. Riding the record deal with Mike Trout, the Angels will put together the pieces for a playoff run. If you’re wondering if I’m biased to think former catchers make the best managers, you’re probably right.

Cy Young Winner:

American League: Trevor Bauer, Indians (mostly because of the great first name)

National League: Madison Bumgarner, Giants

MVP:

American League: Mike Trout, Angels

National League: Anthony Rendon, Nationals

*The A’s and Mariners have already logged their first two games of the season in Japan. The Mariners took the two game set and now sit atop the standings 2-0 while the A’s have the misfortune of starting Opening Day in last place. I am not a fan of this. Opening Day is a tradition in baseball, and starting the season early to play internationally takes away from that. It’s fine to build some international games into the schedule, but they shouldn’t come before the rest of the regular season begins.  

New op-ed posted by the Washington Examiner – Taxes talk, but players like Bryce Harper still want to play where their lights shine brightest

Yesterday the Washington Examiner published by opinion piece on Bryce Harper’s decision to sign with the Philadelphia Phillies. Some think taxes played a big role and even Harper’s agent hinted that it was a consideration. Read the post on washingtonexaminer.com to get my thoughts.

Fun Fact: My Cousin is in a Band! – Rock ‘n’ Roll Fans Should Check Them Out

I am participating in a writing fellowship to improve my writing skills and every week we start out the session by sharing a fun fact. This week, the subject to guide the fun fact discussion was music. I shared that my cousin is in a band, Kingsborough, and that he recently brought his talents to Europe on tour.

One of the recommendations from the program is to write frequently as a way to practice writing. So I’m trying to post on this website more often, even if it’s just a short paragraph or caption. Hence this post.

I’ll use this week’s fun fact topic as an opportunity to give a plug for my cousin Alex – Guitarist/Vocalist. As I noted, above Kingsborough just finished their tour of Europe a few months ago, but they were formed in the San Francisco Bay Area. When I make my way home, I usually try to make it to a show if they’re performing. A couple of my favorite venues to catch them at are HopMonk Tavern in Sebastopol and Laguintas Petaluma Taproom, the latter is walk-able from home, sort of.

The point is, they’re a great band and I’m proud of my cousin for all they are accomplishing. I recommend checking them out!

Here’s a video about their recent tour in Europe that appears on their YouTube page:

Kingsborough-Maiden Voyage Tour 2018

You can also find them out on Spotify:

The second day of July, 1776 will be the most memorable epoch in the history of America.

The second day of July, 1776, will be the most memorable epoch in the history of America. I am apt to believe that it will be celebrated by succeeding generations as the great anniversary festival. It ought to be commemorated as the day of deliverance, by solemn acts of devotion to God Almighty. It ought to be solemnized with pomp and parade, with shows, games, sports, guns, bells, bonfires, and illuminations, from one end of this continent to the other, from this time forward forever more. – John Adams, Letter from John Adams to Abigail Adams, 3 July 1776, “Had a Declaration…” [electronic edition]. Adams Family Papers: An Electronic Archive. Massachusetts Historical Society. http://www.masshist.org/digitaladams/

The Blog

My goal here is to further expand my online presence in the exchange of ideas relating to economics, politics, and history.

The majority of posts will be regarding topics of the day that I find intriguing enough to write about. They will also require a larger word count than Twitter or Facebook allow, meaning they will show up here. As a student of history in my spare time, I will also share my historical notes of interest. 

I relish taking part in ideological discourse and welcome comments both here and on my other social networking sites dedicated to such discussion on Facebook and Twitter.